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| #49307 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 30.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192005 2100Z FRI SEP 30 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 32.9W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 32.9W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 32.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.0N 33.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.2N 33.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.1N 34.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.7N 35.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.0N 36.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N 37.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 26.0N 37.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 32.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN |
