|
Show Selection: |
| #49589 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:46 PM 02.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM STAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005 ...STAN MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...COASTAL WARNINGS LOWERED... AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES... 130 KM... SOUTHEAST OF MERIDA MEXICO. STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS OVER WATER WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. STAN COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER TONIGHT. STAN IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ONCE OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES ...195 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND NORTHERN BELIZE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME WESTERN CUBA. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...20.2 N... 88.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
