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| #49613 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 02.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005 ...STAN CONTINUES TO CROSS THE YUCATAN... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 85 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO. STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS OVER WATER WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. STAN COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER TONIGHT. ONCE IT REACHES THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...STAN IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES ...195 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND FAR WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF NEAR 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...20.7 N... 89.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
