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| #49663 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 02.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005 ...STAN WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...BUT LIKELY TO BEGIN STRENGTHENING AGAIN SOON... AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PROGRESO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND A GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO IN A FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN SQUALLS OVER WATER WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. STAN IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN AS IT MOVES OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF NEAR 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...20.8 N... 90.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH |
