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#49761 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:52 PM 03.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM STAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT MON OCT 03 2005 ...STAN MEANDERING AS IT STRENGTHENS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES... 535 KM... EAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 265 MILES... 430 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. STAN HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...HOWEVER...A MOTION TO THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH... 90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND STAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY EN ROUTE TO THE CENTER OF STAN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...20.3 N... 92.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |