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| #49826 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:14 AM 04.Oct.2005) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM STAN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202005 0600Z TUE OCT 04 2005 AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM EAST OF PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO CHILITEPEC. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO CHILITEPEC. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 94.1W AT 04/0600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 45SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 45SE 0SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 94.1W AT 04/0600Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 93.2W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N 94.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.9N 94.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.7N 95.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.5N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.5N 96.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 94.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z FORECASTER KNABB |
