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| #4983 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 13.Aug.2004) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004 ...CHARLEY MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED... AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA ON THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON THE NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO CHINCOTEAGUE...INCLUDING THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT. AT 11 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH FLORIDA. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WILL MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR DAYTONA BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY MOVES BACK OVER WATER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...MCCOY AIRPORT IN ORLANDO REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 77 MPH WITH A GUST OF 105 MPH. SANFORD FLORIDA HAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 92 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD SUBSIDE TONIGHT. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FT IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...29.1 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
