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| #4985 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 13.Aug.2004) TCMAT3 HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004 0300Z SAT AUG 14 2004 AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA ON THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON THE NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO CHINCOTEAGUE...INCLUDING THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT. AT 11 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH FLORIDA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 81.1W AT 14/0300Z...INLAND POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 81.1W AT 14/0300Z...INLAND AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 81.6W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N 80.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 25NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.3N 77.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 0NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 41.1N 74.1W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 44.6N 70.7W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 48.5N 63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...ASBSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 81.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
