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| #49929 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:46 PM 04.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM STAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005 ...STAN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INLAND...BUT HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES... AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING AND ADJUSTED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PALMA SOLA TO COATZACOALCOS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES... 150 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/HR. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...PARTICULARLY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. STAN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...FROM THE CENTER ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...28.18 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ AND PUEBLA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...18.0 N... 95.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
