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| #49962 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 04.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005 ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE AS STAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES... 170 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...PARTICULARLY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. STAN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES ... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...17.8 N... 95.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
