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| #51191 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:31 AM 11.Oct.2005) TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION VINCE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2005 VINCE'S DATA T NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB AT 06Z WERE NON-EXISTENT... WITH JUST A VERY SMALL AREA OF COLD CONVECTION REMAINING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NEITHER OF TWO SCATTEROMETER PASSES...ONE OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AT 18Z AND ONE IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AT 00Z...SHOWED ANY WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...AND INDEED THE SECOND PASS CALLS INTO QUESTION THE EARLIER 40 KT SHIP REPORT. A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 06Z SHOWED SOME RAIN-FLAGGED 35-40 KT VECTORS... BUT CLOUD MOTIONS AND COASTAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE QUIKSCAT VECTORS ARE CONTAMINATED. VINCE IS THEREFORE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH THIS ADVISORY. WITH NO DATA T NUMBERS...CONTINUING VINCE'S STATUS AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE ANY LONGER IS UNWARRANTED. AS THE SHORT HAPPY LIFE OF VINCE IS NOW OVER...THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE REMNANTS OF VINCE SHOULD CONTINUE ON A TRACK NEAR 065/20 UNTIL DISSPATION OR ABSORPTION DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THE HISTORICAL RECORD SHOWS NO TROPICAL CYCLONE EVER MAKING LANDFALL ON THE IBERIAN PENINSULA. BASED ON SURFACE REPORTS FROM FARO PORTUGAL...THE CENTER PASSED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE COAST OF PORTUGAL...BEFORE BECOMING THE FIRST TROPICAL CYCLONE TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SPAIN. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 37.2N 7.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED |
