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| #513459 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:47 AM 26.May.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 200 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...BERYL NOW DRIFTING WESTWARD...EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AND BEGIN MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.4N 75.1W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM ESE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM E OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES... INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.1 WEST. BERYL IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERYL WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. RECENTLY NOAA BUOY 41002...LOCATED ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF BERYL...REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 36 MPH...58 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 40 MPH... 65 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEAST FLORIDA TO SOUTH CAROLINA ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...AND NORTH FLORIDA... 1 TO 3 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
