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#513569 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 26.May.2012) TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 1500 UTC SAT MAY 26 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 76.3W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 45SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 76.3W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 76.0W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 31.1N 77.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 30.5N 79.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 30.4N 80.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.5N 82.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 31.2N 82.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 32.5N 79.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 36.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N 76.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/FRANKLIN |