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| #513885 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:56 PM 27.May.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 200 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012 ...BERYL STRONGER...NOW A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.1N 79.9W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA..INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT BERYL HAS STRENGTHENED AND NOW HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL...BERYL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON MONDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES... 150 KM FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41012 LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H WITH A GUST TO 52 MPH...83 KM/H. A COASTAL MARINE AUTOMATED OBSERVING SITE AT ST. AUGUSTINE RECENTLY MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 41 MPH...67 KM/H. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE REACHING THE COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...AND NORTH FLORIDA... 1 TO 3 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI |
