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| #514007 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 27.May.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 1100 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012 ...CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL ABOUT TO MOVE INLAND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING INLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.2N 81.1W ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AFTER LANDFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERYL SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND AND BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. HUGUENOT PARK NEAR JACKSONVILLE BEACH RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 53 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH A GUST OF 68 MPH...109 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND TONIGHT AND MONDAY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...2 TO 4 FT SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...1 TO 2 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/KIMBERLAIN |
