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| #514032 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:38 AM 28.May.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 200 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012 ...CENTER OF BERYL MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 81.6W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE DATA NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...BRINGING THE CENTER OF BERYL FARTHER INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA. ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERYL WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN A DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST OF 48 MPH...78 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT BRUNSWICK GEORGIA. A WIND GUST OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE OBSERVING SITE IN FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND... ESPECIALLY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE CENTER OF BERYL OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA OVERNIGHT. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...2 TO 4 FT SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...1 TO 2 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |
