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#5158 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 14.Aug.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINES...THE TRINIDAD-TOBAGO METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE HAS INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM EARL. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES... 605 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH ...39 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON. WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL BE DETERIORATING TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH CHARLEY. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...10.8 N... 54.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER PASCH |