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| #52023 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:40 AM 16.Oct.2005) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING LITTLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES... 325 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN. THE DEPRESSION HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A GENERAL WEST OR SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA... WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...17.1 N... 79.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
