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#52114 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:00 AM 17.Oct.2005) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005 ...SLOWLY MOVING DEPRESSION NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES... 270 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING IN THE SAME GENERAL AREA THE PAST FEW HOURS... BUT A SLOW DRIFT TOWARD THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH... 4 KM/HR... IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER... STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER... THE DEPRESSION IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... AND IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. IF AND WHEN IT DOES SO... IT WILL TIE THE RECORD OF 21 NAMED STORMS SET IN 1933. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...17.4 N... 79.6 W. MOVEMENT DRIFTING SOUTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |