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#5212 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 14.Aug.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004 0300Z SUN AUG 15 2004 AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED ON WESTERN LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND...AND ELSEWHERE WEST OF NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NEW HAVE CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...AND FOR EASTERN LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND EASTWARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 74.9W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 30 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 20SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 20SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 74.9W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 75.9W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.8N 71.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 44.1N 66.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 46.2N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 47.3N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 49.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.9N 74.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN |