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| #521322 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:56 PM 25.Jun.2012) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DEBBY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012 700 PM CDT MON JUN 25 2012 ...INLAND AND COASTAL FLOOD THREAT TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ACROSS PORTIONS OF FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTH FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.1N 85.2W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM DESTIN TO ENGLEWOOD FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ DEBBY IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING AT LARGE DISTANCES FROM THE CENTER. AT AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. DEBBY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. SOME SLOW AND POSSIBLE ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN THE WESTERN BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA INDICATE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 60 MPH...115 KM/H...ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER THE COASTAL AREAS FROM APALACHICOLA NORTHEASTWARD TO SHELL POINT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES BASED ON REPORTS FROM A NEARBY NOAA COASTAL MARINE STATION. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. STORM SURGE...ALTHOUGH DEBBY HAS WEAKENED SOME TODAY...COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT YET DIMINISHING. THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND AT THE TIME OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING... APALACHEE BAY TO WACCASASSA BAY...3 TO 5 FT FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF WACCASASSA BAY...1 TO 3 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...DEBBY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE THE FOLLOWING ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA...4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTH FLORIDA. TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
