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#52140 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:31 AM 17.Oct.2005) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WILMA BECOMES THE 21ST NAMED STORM OF THE 2005 ATLANTIC SEASON OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...TIES THE RECORD FOR NAMED STORMS SET BACK IN 1933... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES ... 280 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES WILMA THE 21ST NAMED TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON... WHICH TIES THE RECORD OF 21 NAMED STORMS SET BACK IN 1933. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES ... 75 KM... MAINLY SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 79.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |