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| #52184 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 17.Oct.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 1500Z MON OCT 17 2005 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 80.0W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 80.0W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 79.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.2N 80.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.3N 81.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.5N 82.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...105NE 105SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.0N 83.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...105NE 105SE 90SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 85.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 20.0N 86.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 87.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 80.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
