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#5232 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 15.Aug.2004) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2004 ....CHARLEY MAKES LANDFALL ON LONG ISLAND... AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...AND FOR EASTERN LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND EASTWARD. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST OR NEAR THE TOWN OF FARMINGVILLE IN THE CENTER OF LONG ISLAND. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CHARLEY IS RAPIDLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARCTERISTICS AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM MOSTLY EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF CHARLEY OVER THE NORTHEAST. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...40.8 N... 73.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN |