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| #5234 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 15.Aug.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004 ...EARL CONTINUING TO MOVE QUICKLY TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...AND ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.1 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES... 170 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA AND ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF TOBAGO. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR...AND A MOTION TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH EARL. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...11.7 N... 59.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER STEWART |
