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#52405 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:08 AM 19.Oct.2005) TCDAT4 HURRICANE WILMA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005 THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND THE FORECAST INTENSITY OF WILMA. AN AIR FORCE PLANE JUST MEASURED 162 KNOTS AT 850 MB AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 901 MB IN A PINHOLE EYE. WILMA IS NOW A VERY STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AND COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE TODAY. NO CHANGE IN TRACK IS NECESSARY. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0500Z 16.9N 82.0W 130 KT 12HR VT 19/1200Z 17.2N 83.1W 135 KT 24HR VT 20/0000Z 18.1N 84.2W 135 KT 36HR VT 20/1200Z 19.2N 85.0W 125 KT 48HR VT 21/0000Z 20.4N 85.5W 125 KT 72HR VT 22/0000Z 23.0N 85.5W 115 KT 96HR VT 23/0000Z 26.0N 81.0W 90 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 24/0000Z 33.0N 72.0W 75 KT |