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| #5262 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 15.Aug.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004 ...EARL ENTERING THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BARBADOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...THE GRENADINES...ST.VINCENT...AND ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...SOUTHWEST OF GRENADA. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 28 MPH ...44 KM/HR...AND A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. SOME WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS MAY STILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH EARL. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...11.9 N... 62.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER PASCH |
