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| #52655 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 20.Oct.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 2100Z THU OCT 20 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 85.7W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 918 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT.......110NE 90SE 75SW 110NW. 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..275NE 300SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 85.7W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 85.5W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 86.4W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 110NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.4N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.1N 87.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N 87.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 27.5N 79.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 38.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 85.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
