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| #52715 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 21.Oct.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 0900Z FRI OCT 21 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 86.2W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 929 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT.......110NE 90SE 75SW 110NW. 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 325SE 175SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 86.2W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 86.1W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.4N 86.6W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 110NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.2N 87.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.6N 87.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.0N 87.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.0N 80.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 36.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 86.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA |
