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| #52774 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 21.Oct.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 1500Z FRI OCT 21 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 86.5W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT.......100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 325SE 175SW 325NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 86.5W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 86.4W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.8N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.3N 87.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.8N 87.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.3N 86.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 125SE 75SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 24.5N 83.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 175NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 29.5N 77.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 39.0N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 86.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z FORECASTER KNABB |
