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| #52913 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:25 PM 21.Oct.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 0300Z SAT OCT 22 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 86.9W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 325SE 175SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 86.9W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 86.8W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.2N 87.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.7N 87.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.3N 86.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.5N 85.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 27.0N 80.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.0N 71.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 45.0N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 86.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
