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#53047 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:03 PM 22.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... AT 2 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO PEDERNALES ON THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS... AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES... 380 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES... 280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH... 24 KM/HR... AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...16.2 N... 68.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB |