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| #531872 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:17 PM 04.Aug.2012) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062012 0300 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 33.0W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 33.0W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 32.4W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.5N 34.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.0N 37.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N 39.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.1N 42.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.3N 49.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.9N 55.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 23.5N 60.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 33.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
