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| #532450 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 07.Aug.2012) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 1500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA * THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS * NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA * CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 85.0W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 85.0W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 84.4W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.6N 86.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.0N 89.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.4N 91.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.4N 93.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.2N 96.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N 100.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 85.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
