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| #532878 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:08 AM 09.Aug.2012) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 700 AM CDT THU AUG 09 2012 ...ERNESTO ABOUT TO CROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR COATZACOALCOS... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 94.0W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA * EAST OF CHILITEPEC TO CAMPECHE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER LAND WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SINCE ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER LAND SHORTLY...WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA THROUGH THIS MORNING. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
