Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995
The Atlantic is quiet
|
Show Selection: |
| #532894 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 09.Aug.2012) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 1000 AM CDT THU AUG 09 2012 ...ERNESTO HANGING AROUND NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO...EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND SOON BRINGING TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLOODING... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 94.3W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ESE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND DISCONTINUED ALL OTHER COASTAL WACHES AND WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF ERNESTO IS VERY NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF MEXICO. AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ERNESTO WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO TODAY AND FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVES OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
