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| #533086 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 09.Aug.2012) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 1000 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012 ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AS ERNESTO WEAKENS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 96.7W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM N OF OAXACA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY UNTIL THE CYCLONE DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY AS THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN A SMALL AREA NEAR CENTER OF ERNESTO OVERNIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY EARLY FRIDAY. RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ERNESTO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
