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#533204 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 10.Aug.2012) TCDAT5 REMNANTS OF ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 1000 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF CIRCULATION HAS BECOME DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN AND IS NO LONGER TRACKABLE. ERNESTO NOW CONSISTS OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITH THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IF THIS IS THE CASE...IT WILL ACQUIRE A NEW DEPRESSION NUMBER...OR A NEW NAME IF IT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON ERNESTO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 18.0N 99.2W 20 KT 25 MPH 12H 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA |