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| #533217 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 10.Aug.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012 1500 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012 INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION SINCE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED AT ANY TIME. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 49.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 49.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 48.6W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.7N 52.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 13.8N 55.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.1N 59.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.6N 62.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.5N 69.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N 83.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 49.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
