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| #534465 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 15.Aug.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012 2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 55.1W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 55.1W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 55.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 31.6N 55.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 33.5N 53.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.6N 50.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.2N 38.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 80SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 36.6N 29.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 38.8N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 55.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
