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| #535168 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 18.Aug.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012 1000 AM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012 ...HELENE MOVES INLAND JUST SOUTH OF TAMPICO MEXICO...WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.0N 98.0W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA TO LA CRUZ. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HELENE WILL BE INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND HELENE COULD DISSIPATE BY EARLY MONDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN VERACRUZ AND SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS STATES THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. RAINFALL...HELENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF MEXICO FROM NORTHERN VERACRUZ INTO SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS AND EASTERN SAN LUIS STATES... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG |
