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| #536159 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 22.Aug.2012) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102012 2100 UTC WED AUG 22 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 37.4W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 37.4W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 37.0W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.0N 39.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.0N 42.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 44.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.1N 47.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.9N 53.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N 59.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 28.5N 64.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 37.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ZELINSKY |
