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#536474 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 23.Aug.2012)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102012
0300 UTC FRI AUG 24 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 43.7W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 43.7W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 43.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.4N 46.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.9N 48.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.7N 52.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.8N 55.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 31.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 36.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 43.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE