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#536531 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 AM 24.Aug.2012) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102012 0900 UTC FRI AUG 24 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 45.0W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 45.0W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 44.3W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.8N 47.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N 50.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 22.8N 57.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.0N 63.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 31.5N 64.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 36.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 45.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA |