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#53688 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:01 AM 24.Oct.2005) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...LARGE EYE OF WILMA OVER PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA... ...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ON BACK SIDE OF EYE MOVING INTO METROPOLITAN AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA... ...REMAIN INDOORS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY... ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE LARGE EYE WILL EMERGE OFF THE EAST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...WILMA IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE EYEWALL EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. PERSONS ARE URGED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WIND SPEEDS ABOUT ONE CATEGORY STRONGER COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. SOME CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA EMERGES OFF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES. STORM SURGE SHOULD BE DECREASING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST...THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN UPPER FLORIDA BAY LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. AS WILMA EXITS FLORIDA...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE PALM BEACH...MARTIN...AND ST. LUCIE SHORELINES TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM TRACK. STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 8 FEET IS STILL POSSIBLE IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. WESTERN CUBA MAY RECEIVE ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER LOCALIZED AREAS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...26.9 N... 80.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM EDT AND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB |