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| #5370 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 16.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 1500Z MON AUG 16 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 37.7W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 37.7W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 37.2W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.5N 38.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.8N 40.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.1N 41.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 26.6N 41.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 30.5N 40.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 34.0N 37.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 37.0N 31.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 37.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z FORECASTER ROBERTS/LAWRENCE |
