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| #538024 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 28.Aug.2012) TCMAT4 HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012 2100 UTC TUE AUG 28 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER... INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 89.2W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 200SE 150SW 130NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 89.2W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 88.9W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 29.4N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 30.3N 91.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 150SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 31.3N 91.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 150SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.0N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 36.0N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 39.0N 90.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 41.5N 86.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 89.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
