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| #538792 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 30.Aug.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 2100 UTC THU AUG 30 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 45.3W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 45.3W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 44.5W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.3N 47.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.5N 50.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N 53.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N 56.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 22.0N 59.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 26.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 28.5N 60.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 45.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
