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| #539457 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 PM 01.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1100 PM AST SAT SEP 01 2012 ...LESLIE TURNS NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 58.4W ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST. LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH...ALONG WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD MOVE AWAY FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LESLIE IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...AND SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41044...LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 45 MPH... 72 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH...86 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
