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| #540379 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:54 AM 05.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 1500 UTC WED SEP 05 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 43.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 50SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 43.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 43.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 29.0N 43.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.7N 42.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.3N 42.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.0N 42.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.1N 44.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.3N 45.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 34.7N 46.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N 43.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS |
